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2015, 05-18 Chester HSPF Hydrographs1493FPIof F;.tFb-v lotevee. XIS Read HSPF PLTGEN File No. of Hydrographs to Read Pltgen File Name Plotting Peak Rank Prob Position YEAR 1 0.01035 3.110 1986 2 0.02882 2.304 1997 3 0.04730 1.910 1956 4 0.06578 1.645 1959 5 0.08426 1.445 1974 6 0.10273 1.282 1963 7 0.12121 1.145 1951 8 0.13969 1.027 1965 9 0.15817 0.922 1995 10 0.17664 0.827 1989 11 0.19512 0.741 1978 12 0.21360 0.662 1950 13 0.23208 0.588 1949 14 0.25055 0.519 1976 15 0.26903 0.455 1952 16 0.28751 0.393 1953 17 0.30599 0.335 1954 18 0.32446 0.280 1958 19 0.34294 0.226 1961 20 0.36142 0.175 1962 21 0.37990 0.126 1964 22 0.39837 0.078 1969 23 0.41685 0.031 1971 24 0.43533 -0.014 1977 25 0.45381 -0.058 1988 26 0.47228 -0.101 1990 27 0.49076 -0.143 1991 28 0.50924 -0.184974 1955 29 0.52772 -0.225918 1957 30 0.54619 -0.266333 1960 31 0.56467 -0.306312 1973 32 0.58315 -0.34595 1975 5/18/2015 7 C:\DriveD\Chester\OUT11041CHF 2c.PLT STORAGE 4 ELEV 2019.40 2019.30 2018.80 2018.30 2018.30 2018.20 2017.90 2017.90 2017.50 2017.30 2017.20 2017.10 2017,00 2017.00 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.90 2016.80 2016.80 2016.80 2016.80 2016.80 Read Peak Peak Peak YEAR STORAGE 1 ELEV YEAR STORAGE 2 ELEV YEAR 1997 2008.00 1997 2001.10 1997 1965 2007.60 1956 2001.00 1986 1986 2007.60 1986 2001.00 1956 1969 2007.50 1959 2000.90 1959 1956 2007.20 1965 2000.90 1965 1959 2007.20 1950 2000.80 1969 1950 2007.00 1969 2000.80 1974 1952 2006.80 1974 2000.80 1950 1974 2006.80 1949 2000.70 1949 1954 2006.20 1951 2000.70 1952 1975 2006.20 1952 2000.70 1954 1949 2006.10 1954 2000.70 1951 1978 2005.90 1963 2000.70 1963 1951 2005.60 1975 2000.70 1975 1963 2005.50 1978 2000.70 1978 1995 2005.50 1995 2000.70 1995 1961 2005.40 1958 2000.60 1961 1989 2005.30 1961 2000.60 1989 1958 2005.20 1989 2000.60 1958 1999 2005.00 1999 2000.60 1999 1962 2004.90 1953 2000.50 1962 1970 2004.80 1962 2000.50 1964 1996 2004.80 1964 2000.50 1970 1953 2004.70 1970 2000.50 1996 1964 2004.70 1985 2000.50 1988 1985 2004.70 1988 2000.50 1985 1957 2004.60 1991 2000.50 1953 1976 2004.60 1996 2000.50 1984 1983 2004.60 1957 2000.40 1991 1988 2004.60 1960 2000.40 1976 1991 2004.60 1966 2000.40 1983 1993 2004.60 1967 2000.40 1993 HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls STORAGE 3 ELEV 2001.30 2001.20 2000.80 2000.60 2000.50 2000.40 2000.40 2000.30 2000.20 2000.20 2000.20 2000.10 2000.10 2000.10 2000.10 2000.00 1999.90 1999.90 1999.80 1999.70 1999.50 1999.30 1999.30 1999.30 1999.20 1999.10 1999.00 1999.00 1999.00 1998.90 1998.90 1998.90 Peak YEAR 1997 1986 1956 1959 1965 1969 1974 1950 1949 1952 1954 1951 1963 1975 1978 1995 1961 1989 1958 1999 1962 1964 1970 1996 1988 1985 1953 1984 1991 1976 1983 1993 STORAGE 5 ELEV 2001.30 2001.20 2000.80 2000.60 2000.50 2000.40 2000.40 2000.30 2000.20 2000.20 2000.20 2000.10 2000.10 2000.10 2000.10 2000.00 1999.90 1999.90 1999.80 1999.70 1999.50 1999.30 1999.30 1999.30 1999.20 1999.10 1999.00 1999.00 1999.00 1998.90 1998.90 1998.90 Peak YEAR 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 33 0.60163 -0.385337 1987 34 0.62010 -0.424567 2002 35 0.63858 -0.463734 1966 36 0.65706 -0.502936 1970 37 0.67554 -0.542278 1972 38 0.69401 -0.581871 1979 39 0.71249 -0.621839 1981 40 0.73097 -0.66232 1983 41 0.74945 -0.70347 1984 42 0.76792 -0.745473 1992 43 0.78640 -0.788548 1993 44 0.80488 -0.832959 1999 45 0.82336 -0.879038 2000 46 0.84183 -0.92721 1967 47 0.86031 -0.978041 1968 48 0.87879 -1.03231 1980 49 0.89727 -1.091144 1982 50 0.91574 -1.156281 1996 51 0.93422 -1.230644 1998 52 0.95270 -1.319819 1985 53 0.97118 -1.437111 1994 54 0.98965 -1.634975 2001 5/18/2015 2016.80 1967 2016.80 1982 2016.70 1984 2016.70 1992 2016.70 1971 2016.70 1979 2016.70 2000 2016.70 1960 2016.70 1966 2016.70 1972 2016.70 1981 2016.70 1987 2016.70 1968 2016.60 1980 2016.60 1990 2016.60 1955 2016.60 2002 2016.60 1998 2016.60 1973 2016.50 1977 2016.50 1994 2016.50 2001 2004.50 1971 2004.50 1976 2004.50 1982 2004.50 1983 2004.40 1984 2004.40 1992 2004.40 1993 2004.30 2000 2004.30 1972 2004.20 1979 2004.20 1981 2004.20 1968 2004.10 1987 2004.10 1980 2004.00 1955 2003.90 1990 2003.60 2002 2003.50 1998 2003.20 1973 2003.10 2001 2002.80 1977 2002.60 1994 HSPFPIotFrq Fb-wolevee.xls 2000.40 1957 1998.80 1957 2000.40 1971 1998.80 1971 2000.40 1982 1998.80 1982 2000.40 1967 1998.70 1967 2000.40 1992 1998.70 1992 2000.40 2000 1998.70 2000 2000.40 1960 1998.60 1960 2000.40 1966 1998.60 1966 2000.30 1972 1998.30 1972 2000.10 1968 1998.20 1968 2000.10 1979 1998.20 1979 2000.00 1981 1998.20 1981 2000.00 1987 1998.20 1987 1999.80 1980 1998.10 1980 1999.10 1955 1997.70 1955 1997.70 1973 1997.20 1973 1997.50 1977 1997.20 1977 1993.90 1990 1997.20 1990 1986.70 1994 1997.20 1994 1983.80 1998 1997.20 1998 1983.40 2001 1997.20 2001 1982.70 2002 1997.20 2002 1998.80 1981 1998.80 1982 1998.80 1983 1998.70 1984 1998.70 1985 1998.70 1986 1998.60 1987 1998.60 1988 1998.30 1989 1998.20 1990 1998.20 1991 1998.20 1992 1998.20 1993 1998.10 1994 1997.70 1995 1997.20 1996 1997.20 1997 1997.20 1998 1997.20 1999 1997.20 2000 1997.20 2001 1997.20 2002 Peak Peak Peak Peak STORAGE AREA 6 YEAR SUB C9 US OF DIV 1993.50 1997 164.88 1993.50 1986 149.22 1993.50 1956 138.83 1993.50 1959 129.86 1993.50 1965 120.71 1993.50 1969 115.59 1993.50 1950 104.22 1993.50 1974 100.33 1993.50 1952 94.83 1993.50 1954 87.44 1993.50 1949 86.77 1993.50 1975 81.95 1993.50 1978 80.50 1993.50 1951 79.40 1993.50 1963 76.36 1993.50 1995 73.83 1993.50 1989 66.92 1993.50 1961 65.43 1993.50 1958 63.46 1993.50 1999 53.75 1993.50 1962 47.27 1993.50 1970 43.18 1993.50 1996 43.10 1993.50 1964 42.23 1993.50 1988 40.26 1993.50 1985 38.00 1993.50 1953 34.74 1993.50 1976 32.96 1993.50 1991 31.91 1993.50 1983 31.19 1993.50 1984 31.00 1993.50 1993 30.63 5/18/2015 HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls 1993.50 1971 1993.50 1982 1993.50 2000 1993.50 1967 1993.50 1957 1993.50 1960 1993.50 1992 1993.50 1966 1993.50 1972 1993.50 1968 1993.50 1981 1993.50 1979 1993.50 1987 1993.50 1980 1993.50 1955 1993.50 2002 1993.50 1990 1993.50 1998 1993.50 1973 1993.50 2001 1993.50 1994 1993.50 1977 29.09 28.13 27.88 27.55 27.08 27.05 26.53 25.14 21.24 20.53 19.78 19.40 18.73 18.58 15.25 14.63 13.99 11.16 5.07 4.66 4.18 0.86 5/18/2015 HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls Chester Creek Simulated Subbasin STORAGE 4 ELEV Overflow 2020.1 c 0 w 2026 . --MIME 2024 _- MIME 2022 _-=--- 2020 0 Win 2018 :: e e EMI. 1 ❑■■nn npiumi�muuunnnnur■ �� - MMI. 1. 1 1. 5 1r 25 50 1 0 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated - Log -Pearson Fit 2016 2014 lue Type I Scale • Subbasin STORAGE 1 ELEV Overflow 2009. c 0 i w 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 reme Val a Type I Scale � -MI■ -_uuu,n unni�n�u�- u■�� MI MEIN ■__-_-__--■ •MME -�--MIME 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Log-Pearson Fit 5/18/2015 Chester Creek Magnitude -Frequency Estimates, Probability Plot Regression Output Subbasin STORAGE 4 ELEV Overflow 2019.8 2026 2024 2022 c 2020 w 2018 2016 2014 Extreme /alue Tips [Scale y=0.44, R 36x + zOT8.081 a0 t= 0.71 , 77 Ov srflow at 2 020.1' ■iuuu- u1 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression Subbasin STORAGE 1 ELEV Overflow 2009. w 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Interval (Years) 0 Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX"3+b)02+cX+d) a 0 b 0 c 0.44436 d 2018.08 Extreme Non Exceed Value Tr Prob Varlate 2 0.500 -0.1643 10 0.900 1.3046 25 0.960 2.0438 50 0.980 2.5923 100 0.990 3.1367 500 0.998 4.3947 Probability Plot Estimate 2016.90 2018.30 2018.99 2019.23 2019.47 2020.03 Probability Plot Regression Factors (a)03+b)02+cX+d) a b c Non Exceed Tr Prob 0 0 0.4679 2006.5845 Extreme Value Probability Plot Varlate Estimate 2 10 25 50 100 500 0.500 0.900 0.960 0.980 0.990 0.998 -0.1643 1.3046 2.0438 2.5923 3.1367 4.3947 2004.50 2007.19 2007.54 2007,80 2008.05 2008.64 Extreme Value Tjpe I Scale srr, - ..---.E3---"".--.-"--. ❑ • y=].4679-+2003.5845 R'=0.9115 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Interval (Years) 0 Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX"3+b)02+cX+d) a 0 b 0 c 0.44436 d 2018.08 Extreme Non Exceed Value Tr Prob Varlate 2 0.500 -0.1643 10 0.900 1.3046 25 0.960 2.0438 50 0.980 2.5923 100 0.990 3.1367 500 0.998 4.3947 Probability Plot Estimate 2016.90 2018.30 2018.99 2019.23 2019.47 2020.03 Probability Plot Regression Factors (a)03+b)02+cX+d) a b c Non Exceed Tr Prob 0 0 0.4679 2006.5845 Extreme Value Probability Plot Varlate Estimate 2 10 25 50 100 500 0.500 0.900 0.960 0.980 0.990 0.998 -0.1643 1.3046 2.0438 2.5923 3.1367 4.3947 2004.50 2007.19 2007.54 2007,80 2008.05 2008.64 Subbasin STORAGE 2 ELEV Overflow 2000.3 i c 0 w 2007 2002 1997 1992 1987 1982 1977 1972 xtreme Va ue Type • •i •i •i ❑ Scale 0 1 01 1 25 2 5 10 25 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑Chester Creek Simulated 50 100 Subbasin STORAGE 3 ELEV Overflow 1999.8 2002.00 2001.00 F 2000.00 c 0 1999.00 1998.00 1997.00 1996.00 Extreme Value Typ e I Scale 0 o ❑❑UM 101 125 2 5 10 25 Recurrence Interval Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Log-Pearson Fit 50 100 Subbasin STORAGE 5 ELEV 2500 2000 1500 0 1000 m 500 0 Extreme Value Type Scale ❑ ❑ ❑ jos 1n .Js iF 0 w 2007 2002 1997 1992 1987 1982 1977 1972 Extreme Value Type I Scale y=0. 92x + 2000.559 x• =u. 130 11 EP 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression COMBINED STORAGE AREA 3 AND 5 w 2003.00 2002.00 2001.00 2000.00 1999.00 1998.00 1997.00 1996.00 Extreme Value Type I Scale 0.565x + R'=0 0 1999.7 949 11 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 Recurrence Interval (Years) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression 100 200 COMBINED STORAGE AREA 3 AND 5 0 v w 2004.00 2002.00 2000.00 1998.00 1996.00 1994.00 1992.00 1990.00 Extreme Value Type l Sca to 0 = 0.565.. R' _ + 1999 0.949 .711 5/18/2015 HSPFPIotFrciFb-wolevee.xls Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX^3+bX^2+cX+d) 0 b 0 c 0.192 d 2000.569 Extreme Non Exceed Value Probability Plot Tr Prob Variate Estimate 2 0.500 -0.1643 2000.50 10 0.900 1.3046 2000.82 25 0.960 2,0438 2000.96 50 0.980 2.5923 2001.07 100 0.990 3.1367 2001.17 500 0.998 4.3947 2001.41 Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX^3+bX^2+cX+d) a 0 b 0 c 0.565 d 1999.711 Extreme Non Exceed Value Probability Plot Tr Prob Variate Estimate 2 0.500 -0.1643 10 0.900 1.3046 2000.45 25 0.960 2.0438 2000.87 50 0.980 2.5923 2001.18 100 0.990 3.1367 2001.48 500 0.998 4.3947 2002.19 See HSPFPIotFrgFa.xls for 2 -year elevation Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX^3+bX^2+cX+d) a 0 b 0 c 0.565 d 1999.711 Extreme Non Exceed Value Probability Plot Tr Prob Variate Estimate 2 0.500 -0.1643 10 0.900 1.3046 2000.45 25 0.960 2.0438 2000.87 50 0.980 2.5923 2001.18 100 0.990 3.1367 2001.48 HS PFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls V 1 1 1.25 2 3 16 2'5 5J __.160 IV ,rs) ❑ Chester Creek Simulated - Log -Pearson Fit .1111■■■■ IlIuUll' ■ a■■■■n■ IiiuuIII 11 Hh1JIII Il u 1 ■■■■■ 111 n 1 1IHfli II .■ IN III Il 00 l0 im' N O o, CD V' N V c (setJeyasIa HS PFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 a Chester Creek Simulated - Log -Pearson Fit us) 11 Il u 1 111 n II 1 Il II II IN HS PFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls ❑ Chester Creek Simulated -Log-Pearson Fit s) 25 50 100 11 Il u 1 111 n 01 A IN —(sio) ai'neyjsi' o o HS PFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls 0 ChesterCreekSimulated -Log-Pearson Fit rs) 25 50 100 11 Il 1 111 IN HS PFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls Recurrence Interval (Years) �J ❑ Chester Creek Simulated Log -Pearson Fit 0,1 11111 Subbasin Storage Area 6 c 0 w 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 Extreme Value Type ❑ ❑ / Scale 00 0 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 Recurrence Interval Years) 0 Chester Creek Simulated -Log-Pearson Fit 50 100 5/18/2015 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Interval (Years) 0 Chester Creek Simulated --Probability Plot Regression Subbasin Storage Area 6 Overflow at 2009.5 E 0 LU 2015.00 2010.00 2005.00 2000.00 1995.00 1990.00 1.0 Extreme Value Type I Sca e 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 Recurrence Int9eva.9.9913 fc)+ 1993.50000 0 Chester Creek Simulated -Probability Plot Regression HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls 500 0.998 4.3947 2002.19 See HSPFPIotFrgFa.xls for 2 -year elevation Probability Plot Regression Factors (aX^3+bX^2+cX+d) a 0 b 0 c 0.07103 d 2009.606 Extreme Non Exceed Value Probability Plot Tr Prob Variate Estimate 2 0.500 -0.1643 1996.10 10 0.900 1.3046 2005.00 25 0.960 2.0438 2008.50 50 0.980 2.5923 2009.60 100 0.990 3.1367 2009.70 500 0.998 4.3947 2010.00 Jlr�c{w.1 HSPF Results Log -Pearson Fit Scale Lines STORAGE 4 ELFfORAGE 1 ELFfORAGE 2 ELIfORAGE 3 ELFORAGE 5 ELFORAGE ARE Tr Exceed Prob Non Exceed Prob Plot Scale 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 Tr Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) 500 0.002 0.998 4.39469 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 500 #NUMI. #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! 200 0.005 0.995 3.67909 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 200 #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! 100 0.010 0.99 3.13668 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 100 #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! 50 0.020 0.98 2.59229 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 50 #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! 25 0.040 0.96 2.04385 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 25 #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! *NUM! 10 0.100 0.9 1.30456 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 10 #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! 5 0.200 0.8 0.71946 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 5 #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! 2 0.500 0.5 -0.16427 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 2 #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI 1.25 0.800 0.2 -0.82109 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 1.25 #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! 1.01010101 0.990 0.01 -1.64078 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 1.010101 #NUM! #NUM! #NUM! #NUMI #NUM! #NUM! -4 4.05 7.70 4.76 4 4.05 7.70 4.76 300 2352 223 188 447 262 789 200 2193 208 175 418 244 737 100 1936 183 155 370 216 653 50 1696 160 135 325 189 573 25 1470 138 117 282 164 498 10 1191 111 95 228 132 403 5 987 91 78 188 109 333 2 708 64 55 133 78 235 1.25 525 47 40 96 57 171 1.010101 335 29 24 58 36 103 5/18/2015 HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls Mtun kc1cttZ HSPF Results Log -Pearson Fit Scale Lines STORAGE 4 ELIFORAGE 1 ELFORAGE 2 ELIfORAGE 3 ELIfORAGE 5 ELDRAGE ARE Tr Exceed Prob Non Exceed Prob Plot Scale 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 Tr Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) 500 0.002 0.998 4.39469 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 500 2021 2010 2003 2002 2002 1994 200 0.005 0.995 3.67909 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 200 2020 2009 2003 2002 2002 1994 100 0.010 0.99 3.13668 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 100 2020 2009 2002 2002 2002 1994 50 0.020 0.98 2.59229 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 50 2019 2008 2002 2001 2001 1994 25 0.040 0.96 2.04385 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 25 2019 2008 2002 2001 2001 1994 10 0.100 0.9 1.30456 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 10 2018 2007 2002 2001 2001 1994 5 0.200 0.8 0.71946 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 5 2017 2006 2002 2000 2000 1994 2 0.500 0.5 -0.16427 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 2 2017 2005 2001 1999 1999 1994 1.25 0.800 0.2 -0.82109 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 1.25 2017 2004 1997 1998 1998 1994 1.01010101 0.990 0.01 -1.64078 0 2014 1996 1972 1996 1990 1.010101 2016 2003 1981 1996 1996 1993 -4 4,05 7.70 4.76 4 4.05 7.70 4.76 300 2352 223 188 447 262 789 200 2193 208 175 418 244 737 100 1936 183 155 370 216 653 50 1696 160 135 325 189 573 25 1470 138 117 282 164 498 10 1191 111 95 228 132 403 5 987 91 78 188 109 333 2 708 64 55 133 78 235 1.25 525 47 40 96 57 171 1.010101 335 29 24 58 36 103 5/18/2015 HSPFPIotFrgFb-wolevee.xls 5/18/2015 IB C9 US OF E 0.000 0.000 0.000 Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) Flow (cfs) #NUMI #NUM! 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